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Investors rotate into small caps on soft June US inflation
Stock investors rotate into small caps after soft June US inflation reading
Is the Fed’s job done? The June US inflation figure came in really soft. Stock investors rotated out of big tech and into small caps – the Nasdaq tumbled 2% and the Russell 2000 jumped by almost 4%. It was a day of divergence.
Following the release of the US inflation figure, Nvidia shares fell over 5%, weighing heavily on the tech-heavy Nasdaq, with 2-3% declines for other tech giants. Tesla slumped by more than 8%. European stock markets are higher on Friday morning, with the FTSE 100 climbing 0.35% to 8,251 as of the time of writing.
Gold rallied through $2,400 as the dollar softened and real yields declined.
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Index
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Porsche
Procter & Gamble
Roku Inc
Deere
Quanta Services
UniCredit
Rolls-Royce
Inditex
Deliveroo Holdings
Goldman Sachs
Coca-Cola Co (NYSE)
Infosys
Toro
ChargePoint Holdings Inc
Comcast
Chipotle
Campari
The Cheesecake Factory
Virgin Galactic
LVMH
Eni
Medtronic
ProSiebenSat.1
Qualcomm
BioNTech
SIG
Meta (Formerly Facebook)
Philip Morris
Visa
Schlumberger
SMCI
Plug Power
Nike
ADT
3D Systems
Nikola Corporation
Pinterest Inc
Bristol Myers
Jumia Technologies
Broadcom
Upstart Holdings Inc
Salesforce.com
Amazon.com
Cinemark
Moderna Inc
AMC Entertainment Holdings
Air France-KLM
Glencore plc
Starbucks
Uber
Golar LNG
Pfizer
Palantir Technologies Inc
CrowdStrike Holdings
Mastercard
Blackrock
Vir Biotechnology
Toyota
Kuaishou
MerckCo USA
Cisco Systems
Porsche AG
II-VI
JD.com
Snap
JP Morgan
Lululemon
UPS
AIA
Deutsche Bank
Airbus Group SE
Zoom Video Communications
XPeng Inc
Trade Desk
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Sartorius AG
Mondelez
Hammerson
CNOOC
Snowflake
Thermo Fisher
CCB (Asia)
Kraft Heinz
Unilever
China Life
eBay
Linde PLC
GameStop
Infinera
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ASOS
SAP
Barclays
Christian Dior
Wish.com Inc
AstraZeneca
FirstRand
SONY
CAT
Applied Materials
BlackBerry
ALIBABA HK
British American Tobacco
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Siemens
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Vipshop
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Prosus N.V.
ASML
Airbnb Inc
Lithium Americas Corp
JnJ
Wal-Mart Stores
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McDonald's
Shopify
Hermes
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Peloton Interactive Inc.
Apple
Volkswagen
Marriott
Sea
Micron
Conoco Phillips
Morgan Stanley
Ford
Upwork Inc.
Nel ASA
Bank of America
Accenture
Santander
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Trump Media & Technology Group
Royal Bank Canada
UiPath Inc
Spotify
Fedex
LUCID
Anglo American
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Dave & Buster's
Shell plc (LSE)
Xiaomi
Adidas
Skillz Inc
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PepsiCo
Berkshire Hathaway
Lockheed Martin
Coinbase Inc
HSBC
Target
Netflix
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PayPal
DISNEY
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Blackstone
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Lumentum Holdings
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Block
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Unity Software
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BP
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Alibaba
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CarMax
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Total
Bayer
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Wayfair
IBM
Bilibili Inc
HSBC HK
Occidental
Lyft
IAG
Costco
Tilray
Fresnillo
Intel
ROBLOX Corp
BASF
Workday Inc
GoPro
DoorDash
Electrolux
GoHealth
Alphabet (Google)
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Lowest US inflation reading in three years sees Treasury yields plunge, DXY drop
The lowest CPI inflation report in three years sent Treasury yields plunging and the dollar dipped aggressively lower to send major peers to their highest levels in months.
The June CPI print fell to 3.3% and prices declined by 0.1% month-on-month. Shelter costs finally normalised. The odds of an interest rate cut by the Fed in September jumped from 70% to almost 90%. Is this the last mile?
I’ve said for ages the Fed won’t push to get from 3% to 2%. The job has been done and they will accept slightly higher levels of inflation now.
The question is why wait until September – the case for a cut has been building for some time, and the Fed seems overly cautious. Too loose for too long on the way in, too tight for too long on the way out.
US PPI due, banks kick off Q2 earnings season on Wall Street
US producer price inflation data is due later, whilst banks kick off Q2 earnings on Wall Street. Chinese exports surged to create the biggest trade surplus since 1990.
Bank of America is out with an upgrade on Apple, saying it expects a strong multi-year iPhone refresh cycle with an ageing installed base. It raised its target price on Apple stock to $256.
More Biden gaffes, sterling rallies to 1-year high vs. dollar
Elsewhere, Joe Biden made a few gaffes in his “big boy” press conference…calling Zelensky ‘President Putin’ and Kamala Harris “vice president Trump.” More on whether Biden runs in the latest Overleveraged podcast.
Sterling, already firmer on tough talk out of the Bank of England and some positive UK GDP figures, rallied to its highest in a year versus the dollar.
As for USDJPY – there was a massive move in the Japanese yen on the US inflation report – looks like the Bank of Japan used the data to buy some yen.
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Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice.
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